Manchester City, under Pep Guardiola, is facing its toughest spell in years. With just one win in their last 12 matches across all competitions, the reigning Premier League champions find themselves 12 points behind league leaders Liverpool and sitting in an uncharacteristic seventh place. Despite the challenges, Guardiola remains resolute, vowing to “find a way” to steer his team back to winning form, starting with their upcoming clash against Everton.
Manchester City’s Recent Struggles: A Rare Sight
Unprecedented Decline
Since November, Manchester City has managed to secure just four points in the Premier League—the lowest tally among all top-flight teams during this period. The team’s once-dominant consistency has faltered, leading Guardiola to rule them out of this season’s title race.
Guardiola’s Perspective
Guardiola acknowledges the gravity of the situation but remains focused on the immediate task at hand.
“This team was consistent for so long, and we broke all the records. Now we are on the other side. That’s the truth. We have to find a way,” he said.
He emphasized the importance of resilience, encouraging his players to rise to the challenge.
Everton’s Resurgence Under Sean Dyche
While Manchester City struggles, Everton is experiencing a mini-revival. The Toffees are unbeaten in their last three matches, boasting clean sheets in all of them. Under Sean Dyche, Everton has tightened their defensive structure, making them a tough side to break down.
Defensive Strength
James Tarkowski praised Everton’s recent defensive form, saying:
“We’re a team going in the right direction. We look strong, and teams are struggling to break us down.”
Everton’s defense has been instrumental, supported by standout performances from goalkeeper Jordan Pickford, who leads the league with seven clean sheets this season.
Key Players to Watch
Manchester City – Erling Haaland
Haaland remains a critical player for Manchester City. The Norwegian striker has a strong record against Everton, scoring four goals in three Premier League matches against them, including a brace in this fixture last season. However, he is currently experiencing a rare dry spell, failing to score in his last three home league games.
Everton – Jordan Pickford
Pickford has been a cornerstone of Everton’s defensive solidity this season. With the second-best defensive record in the league, he has kept more clean sheets than any other goalkeeper. His shot-stopping abilities will be crucial in thwarting City’s potent attack.
Historical Context and Match Prediction
City’s Dominance Over Everton
Manchester City has been dominant against Everton in recent years. They are unbeaten in their last 13 home league games against the Toffees, winning eight and drawing five. Additionally, City has a strong Boxing Day record, winning six of their last seven matches on this date.
Everton’s Boxing Day Resilience
Everton, however, has not lost any of their last eight Boxing Day away games, a streak dating back to 2005. They also triumphed the last time they faced reigning champions on Boxing Day, beating Leicester City 2-0 in 2016.
Guardiola’s Plan for Recovery
Guardiola is determined to restore City’s form, focusing on small, incremental improvements.
“You lose another game, and you have to think about what to do in the next, to winning,” he explained.
His philosophy centers on learning from adversity and instilling belief in his players. Despite the slump, Guardiola’s track record and tactical acumen make a turnaround seem likely.
Match Prediction and OPTA Win Probability
Manchester City enters the match as clear favorites:
- Manchester City Win: 73.7%
- Draw: 15.3%
- Everton Win: 11%
Given City’s historical dominance and Everton’s defensive strength, the match promises to be a tactical battle. However, City’s home advantage and attacking depth give them the edge.
Conclusion
Manchester City’s clash with Everton represents a critical juncture for both teams. For Guardiola, it’s an opportunity to halt the slump and begin rebuilding momentum. For Everton, it’s a chance to extend their unbeaten run and solidify their defensive reputation. As both teams prepare for this Boxing Day showdown, fans can expect a thrilling encounter that could set the tone for the rest of the season.
FAQs
1. What is Manchester City’s current form?
City has won just one of their last 12 matches across all competitions, marking their worst run under Guardiola.
2. Why is Everton’s defense so strong this season?
Under Sean Dyche, Everton has adopted a disciplined defensive approach, with Jordan Pickford leading the league in clean sheets.
3. What is Erling Haaland’s record against Everton?
Haaland has scored four goals in three Premier League appearances against Everton.
4. What is Manchester City’s Boxing Day record?
City has won six of their last seven Boxing Day matches, including all seven played at home since 2002.
5. Can Everton win at the Etihad?
While unlikely, Everton’s strong recent form and defensive resilience give them a fighting chance.
